Fenix Commerce Launches Incrementality Engine... Learn More
FedEx Cutoff
UPS Cutoff
Last Delivery Day
Quick insight:
Stopping promotions early reduces demand. Upgrading every shipment is expensive. Selective upgrades based on delivery-date logic unlock the middle ground, capturing most of the upside while controlling costs.
| Carrier | Ground / Standard | 3-Day / Expedited | Next-Day / Priority | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FedEx Ground | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 23 | Zone-based, no standard service on Dec 25, surge can shift dates. |
 UPS Ground | Dec 18 | Dec 20 (Select) | Dec 23 | Varies by distance, limited operations on Dec 24, closed on Dec 25. |
 USPS Priority / Express | Dec 18–19 | N/A | Dec 21 (Express) | Peak volume may add delay, no guaranteed delivery on Dec 25. |
 Amazon-style fulfillment | Dec 16 (Standard) | Dec 22 (Expedited) | Dec 23 | Regionally variable, internal thresholds should be confirmed. |
 DHL Express | N/A | Dec 21–22 (Express Priority) | N/A | Focuses on urgent and international shipments, limited service on Dec 25 in many regions. |
| Carrier | Surcharge Type | 2025 Rates | 2024 Rates | Change / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FedEx | Additional Handling | $8.25 / $10.90 / $8.25 | $7.25 / $10.00 / $7.25 | + $0.90 peak |
| FedEx | Oversize | $90 / $108.50 / $90 | $85 / $100 / $85 | + $8.50 peak |
| FedEx | Ground Unauthorized | $490 / $545 / $490 | $465 / $500 / $465 | + $45 peak |
| FedEx | Residential per-piece | $0.40 / $0.65 / $0.40 | $0.35 / $0.55 / $0.35 | + $0.10 peak |
| FedEx | Ground Economy | $2.20 / $3.55 / $2.20 | $2.05 / $3.45 / $2.05 | + $0.10 peak |
| UPS | Additional Handling | TBA | $7.75 to $9.95 | N/A |
| UPS | Large Package | TBA | $84.75 to $99 | N/A |
| UPS | Over Max | TBA | $445 to $495 | N/A |
| UPS | Residential per-piece | TBA | $0.25 to $2.00 | N/A |
| USPS | Ground Advantage | ~5.2% increase | ~6.4% increase | Slightly lower vs 2024 |
| USPS | Priority Mail | ~5.6% increase | ~5.5% increase | Flat to slightly higher |
| USPS | Priority Mail Express | ~5.6% increase | ~4.9% increase | Higher vs 2024 |
| OnTrac | Residential per-piece | TBA | $0.75 flat | N/A |
| GLS | Residential per-piece | TBA | $1.50 flat | N/A |
